A PharmaTech Talk Blog article on vaccines raises the point Kalorama Information often has - can these drugs be a replacement for lost patents. From the article, which utilizes information from Kalorama's research.
Producing vaccines could be a key strategy for firms that have invested in biopharmaceutical manufacturing capacity. Market research firm Kalorama Information reported that the world market for preventative vaccines rose from $22.1 billion in 2009 to $25.3 billion in 2010. It predicts that the market will grow at a compound annual rate of 9.3% during the next five years, thanks partly to sales in emerging markets.
The vaccine market generally is regarded as having two components: adult products and pediatric products. The pediatric market is the bigger of the two—it accounts for more than half of the total market and is growing at a faster rate than the adult market, according to Kalorama.
The growth in pediatric vaccines could spur the development of new drug-delivery methods—another go-to strategy for drugmakers facing the patent cliff. Kalorama predicts that the market for needle-free drug delivery methods will grow at an average rate of 15.1% from 2011 through 2016, when it will be valued at roughly $6.2 billion. More and more children, and needlephobic adults, might benefit from products such as patches and pen injectors.